5G user base is expected to exceed 1.1 billion by 2025, but market unlikely to see boom as fast as that for 4G

Benson Wu

Benson Wu

Digitimes Research estimates the number of 5G users will reach 1.14 billion by 2025 to account for 13.4% of all mobile service subscribers.

Table of contents

Introduction
With 4G LTE market still flourishing, 5G user base will unlikely expand at record-breaking speeds
4G networks offer choices of different technologies with long-term development
5G networks require multiple critical technologies
No successful 5G business model
Chart 1: Global telecom service users, 2015-2025 (billion)
Telecom's size of capital is crucial to competitiveness in 5G market
5G deployment will be put off due to large 4G LTE investments
Chart 2: China Mobile capex and profits, 2011-2017 (CNY100m)
Chart 3: Global mobile communications revenues and capex, 2015-2020 (US$b)
5G using high-frequency spectrum will impose tremendous capital pressure on telecoms
Chart 4: Coverage of different frequency bands
The telecom equipment market sustains impact as operators worldwide cut down spending
Chart 5: Changes in telecom equipment market revenues in 2015-2017 and revenue shares of four leading providers in 2017

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Published: June 7, 2018

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