CONNECT WITH US
Jun 22
Soaring contract prices put memory's big three on course for blockbuster 2026 profits

The memory industry is entering a super cycle as prices keep soaring, with industry sources saying third-quarter 2026 contract price gains show no sign of slowing amid tight supply from upstream vendors. Overall increases could reach 30% to 40%, after second-quarter 2026 contract prices already climbed 40%. As market prices continue to stack higher in the second half, profits at the top three memory manufacturers are set to expand sharply, driving a surge in full-year memory business earnings.

Japan is preparing a sweeping public-private investment strategy totaling more than JPY370 trillion (US$2.3 trillion) by fiscal 2040, spanning 17 strategic sectors including AI, semiconductors, aerospace, and energy-related industries.

Google released a 30,000-word AI roadmap on June 14 that, for the first time, clearly defines AI having the capability of 100 million humans as a key milestone on the path to artificial superintelligence (ASI). The plan outlines a three-stage evolution from today's large models to artificial general intelligence (AGI) and then ASI, reinforcing expectations that AI capabilities will keep expanding at an exponential pace.

Demand for high-end fiberglass cloth is surging on the AI boom, and orders from copper-clad laminate (CCL) customers are leaving the world's two largest suppliers, Nittobo and Taiwan Glass, short of capacity. In particular, low coefficient of thermal expansion (CTE) and low Dk2 products remain the tightest, with supply-demand gaps now expected to last through 2027.

Demand in the passive component market has rebounded alongside the rapid buildout of AI data centers. While Japanese suppliers continue to lead in technology, their capacity expansion has struggled to keep pace with AI-related demand, driving order spillover to Taiwan-based manufacturers.

Wafer Works announced after its June 18, 2026, shareholders meeting that it launched a "golden triangle" expansion plan to deepen silicon wafer product lines and support fast-growing applications in advanced packaging, optical transmission and third-generation semiconductors. The rollout covers simultaneous construction and capacity ramp projects at Erlin, Zhengzhou, and Zhunan to align production with customer validation and mass-production targets.

SK Hynix briefly overtook Samsung Electronics on June 22 to claim the top spot by common-share market capitalization on South Korea's KOSPI exchange, a milestone that reflects how high-bandwidth memory (HBM) has redefined the value of Korea's semiconductor industry.

Nvidia's planned US$20 billion strategic deal with Groq is built on a simple logic: as compute gets cheaper, demand keeps expanding. In a recent interview, Groq co-founder and CEO Jonathan Ross explained why Nvidia is expected to combine Groq's LPU with its latest Vera Rubin platform and how GPU and LPU can work as complementary engines in LLM inference.
AI data centers are driving growth in demand for power management and power semiconductor components. Hot swap products, in particular, require a wide safe operating area (SOA) to prevent excessive surge current when a redundant power supply is inserted and activated, interacting with the system's large capacitors.

AI-driven memory price spikes are presenting a challenge for Samsung's smartphone business, with rising component prices eroding the affordability of its budget phones. At the same time, Samsung is seeking to use its new AI features to encourage new device purchases as memory prices dampen smartphone sales globally.

Japanese bathroom fixture maker Toto is deepening its commitment to the semiconductor industry, unveiling plans to invest JPY80 billion (approx. US$495.3 million) over the next five years to expand production of advanced ceramic materials used in chip manufacturing. According to a Nikkei Asia report, the company aims to support future-generation semiconductor processes in the 1nm range, extending a business that has become a major profit driver amid the AI boom.

China's memory makers are moving from technology catch-up to capital-market expansion, with ChangXin Memory Technologies' (CXMT) parent and Yangtze Memory Technology (YMTC) both preparing initial public offerings (IPOs) to fund future capacity growth and technology upgrades. South Korean industry players are paying particularly close attention to YMTC, which focuses on NAND Flash and is closing in on Korean suppliers across market share, 3D NAND layer stacking, output expansion, and building channels in consumer solid-state drives (SSD).